←  Prediction archive

United States Grand Prix prediction

Pre Weekend

Qualifying

RankDriverTeamExpected gap80% rangeFastest chance
1George RussellRUSMercedes+0.74%— to +1.67%19.7%
2Kimi AntonelliANTMercedes+0.85%— to +1.80%14.3%
3Charles LeclercLECFerrari+0.90%— to +1.89%14.2%
4Lando NorrisNORMcLaren+0.95%— to +1.96%12.6%
5Oscar PiastriPIAMcLaren+1.01%— to +2.01%10.2%
6Max VerstappenVERRed Bull+1.03%— to +2.05%11.1%
7Lewis HamiltonHAMFerrari+1.02%+0.02% to +2.01%9.6%
8Isack HadjarHADRed Bull+1.26%+0.20% to +2.32%6.1%
9Pierre GaslyGASAlpine+1.99%+0.92% to +3.07%0.8%
10Arvid LindbladLINRacing Bulls+2.09%+1.02% to +3.14%0.4%
11Liam LawsonLAWRacing Bulls+2.29%+1.19% to +3.39%0.4%
12Gabriel BortoletoBORAudi+2.31%+1.23% to +3.40%0.2%
13Franco ColapintoCOLAlpine+2.39%+1.31% to +3.47%0.1%
14Nico HülkenbergHULAudi+2.49%+1.42% to +3.57%0.1%
15Oliver BearmanBEAHaas+2.82%+1.77% to +3.90%0.0%
16Esteban OconOCOHaas+3.11%+2.04% to +4.18%0.0%
17Carlos Sainz Jr.SAIWilliams+3.19%+2.12% to +4.26%0.0%
18Alexander AlbonALBWilliams+3.41%+2.35% to +4.49%0.0%
19Fernando AlonsoALOAston Martin+4.36%+3.28% to +5.44%0.0%
20Sergio PérezPERCadillac+4.81%+3.71% to +5.92%0.0%
21Valtteri BottasBOTCadillac+5.01%+3.92% to +6.11%0.0%
22Lance StrollSTRAston Martin+5.05%+3.97% to +6.13%0.0%

20,000 simulations · generated . Pace ranking and uncertainty, not finishing order, points, reliability, penalties or race incidents.