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Mexico City Grand Prix prediction

Post Qualifying

Race

RankDriverTeamExpected gap80% rangeFastest chance
1Max VerstappenVERRed Bull—— to +0.95%27.5%
2Charles LeclercLECFerrari—— to +0.93%23.5%
3Kimi AntonelliANTMercedes+0.08%— to +1.04%19.7%
4Lewis HamiltonHAMFerrari+0.11%— to +1.04%13.9%
5George RussellRUSMercedes+0.33%+0.14% to +1.32%5.4%
6Lando NorrisNORMcLaren+0.36%+0.11% to +1.37%6.5%
7Oscar PiastriPIAMcLaren+0.54%+0.31% to +1.54%2.1%
8Isack HadjarHADRed Bull+0.61%+0.41% to +1.59%1.1%
9Pierre GaslyGASAlpine+1.19%+0.95% to +2.22%0.0%
10Liam LawsonLAWRacing Bulls+1.21%+0.94% to +2.25%0.1%
11Arvid LindbladLINRacing Bulls+1.36%+1.12% to +2.38%0.0%
12Nico HülkenbergHULAudi+1.45%+1.20% to +2.48%0.0%
13Franco ColapintoCOLAlpine+1.49%+1.24% to +2.52%0.0%
14Gabriel BortoletoBORAudi+1.58%+1.33% to +2.61%0.0%
15HIRHIRHaas+2.03%+1.61% to +3.22%0.0%
16Oliver BearmanBEAHaas+2.07%+1.82% to +3.09%0.0%
17Carlos Sainz Jr.SAIWilliams+2.26%+2.01% to +3.28%0.0%
18Alexander AlbonALBWilliams+2.40%+2.16% to +3.44%0.0%
19Fernando AlonsoALOAston Martin+2.89%+2.63% to +3.91%0.0%
20Sergio PérezPERCadillac+2.93%+2.69% to +3.96%0.0%
21Lance StrollSTRAston Martin+3.11%+2.87% to +4.13%0.0%
22Valtteri BottasBOTCadillac+3.39%+3.15% to +4.42%0.0%

20,000 simulations · generated . Central clean-lap pace gap to the quickest forecast mean, with simulated uncertainty; not finishing order, strategy, pit loss, points, reliability, penalties or race incidents.