Latest prediction after FP2
The model predicts Mercedes as the fastest team in Qualifying.
Although I doubt Mclaren will be that far back! The red flag caused by Lindblad causing a few issues.
Interactive
How the forecast was made
The model uses only information available after the relevant Friday practice sessions. It predicts each team's percentage gap from the fastest team and converts that relative gap to seconds for presentation.
The saved model was trained through round 11. The horizontal bars are 80% empirical error intervals using Global empirical, calibrated from earlier out-of-sample forecasts.
Result and review
To be completed after the session.