Latest prediction after FP2
The model predicts Ferrari as the fastest team in Qualifying.
Interactive
How the forecast was made
The model uses only information available after the relevant Friday practice sessions. It predicts each team's percentage gap from the fastest team and converts that relative gap to seconds for presentation.
The saved model was trained through round 11. The horizontal bars are 80% empirical error intervals using Global empirical, calibrated from earlier out-of-sample forecasts.
Result and review
Session result
Red Bull Racing set the fastest team time in qualifying.
The forecast put Ferrari first rather than Red Bull Racing.
Across 11 matched teams, the gap MAE was 0.440s (0.440 percentage points), with 89.1% of team-to-team orderings correct.
Interactive